Jason's Weather Center

Tracking Atlantic Hurricanes and Southern Plains Weather Since 2005

Atlantic Tropical Weather Update

Updated: 1500 UTC 10/23/2016

The Atlantic basin is quiet today, and is expected to remain quiet for the next several days as strong wind shear persists over much of the region.

Atlantic Tracking Map

Southern Plains Weather Update

Updated: 1500 UTC 10/23/2016

Unusually warm weather looks to persist for at least another 10 days or so as upper-level ridging continues over the region. Both the GEFS and EPS continue to show this pattern through the upcoming week and at least the first half of week two. Global ensemble models have been hinting at a possible pattern shift towards the end of week two (November 4-7) however, with both the GEFS and EPS suggesting that upper-level troughing could develop over the central and eastern continental United States. If this verified, it could bring a shift towards more seasonable, if not below average temperatures by this time. It is important to stress however that even with ensemble predictions, there is large uncertainty at this time range.